
CRISIL
has placed the outstanding 'P1+' rating on the short-term debt programme
of Ford India Private Limited (Ford India) on 'Rating Watch with Developing
Implications'. The rating action follows Standard and Poor's (S&P) revision
of its US parent, Ford Motor Company's (FMC) outstanding rating to 'BB+/Negative/B-1'
from 'BBB-/Negative/A-3'. The outstanding rating on Ford India's short-term
debt programme factors the financial, product and managerial support that
Ford India receives from its parent.
The
revision in FMC's rating to 'BB+/Negative/B-1' is due to S&P's "scepticism
about whether, FMC's management strategies would be sufficient to contract
mounting competitive challenges". S&P's concerns stem from the
fact that FMC faces the prospect that its overall sport utility vehicle
(SUV) business will not be able to generate the profitability it has enjoyed
historically.
FMC's
financial performance has been heavily dependent on the earnings of its
SUVs. Recently, though, sales of its midsize and large SUVs have plummeted.
Industry-wide demand for SUVs has evidently stalled, partly because of persistent
high gasoline prices. In addition, competition has intensified due to a
proliferation of new SUVs.
CRISIL
is in dialogue with FMC to understand the implications, if any, post S&P's
rating action on Ford India's operations and would announce the eventual
rating after reviewing the implications.
FMC
is the second-largest automotive company in the world with a strong presence
in the North American and European markets. In 2004, it reported a net profit
of US $3.50 billion as against a net profit of US $0.50 billion in 2003.
Ford India currently manufactures the Ford Ikon, Ford Endeavour and
Ford Fusion for the domestic market and Ford Ikon kits for the export
market. It also sells the Ford Mondeo in the domestic market.
Ford
Credit Kotak Mahindra unaffected
CRISIL's ratings on Ford Credit Kotak Mahindra Limited (Ford Credit) are
not impacted by Standard and Poor's (S&P) downgrade of Ford Motor Company's
(FMC) and Ford Motor Credit Company's (FMCC) corporate credit ratings (both
companies being now rated BB+/Negative/B-1 vis-à-vis BBB-/Negative/A-3
earlier).
Ford
Credit's current CRISIL ratings do not derive any uplift from S&P's
ratings on FMC and FMCC. CRISIL's ratings on Ford Credit continue to reflect
its healthy asset quality, good resources position and strong financial
profile. Adequate capital levels and conservative asset-liability management
characterize Ford Credit's strong financial profile. Ford Credit's standalone
credit profile however benefits from the ongoing inputs from FMC and FMCC
in terms of management and systems and preferred financier status for Ford
dealers in India.
CRISIL's
ratings on Ford Credit also reflect the limited diversity in the product
portfolio of Ford Credit and its small addressable market. Ford India Limited's
ability to widen its product portfolio and capture a higher share of the
Indian automobile market and Ford Credit's capacity to increase its penetration
levels within Ford India Limited's operations would benefit its business
position going forward.
S&P's
downgrade to non-investment-grade reflects its scepticism about whether
management's strategies will be sufficient to counteract mounting competitive
challenges. Of greatest immediate concern to S&P is that FMC faces the
prospect that its overall sport utility vehicle (SUV) business will not
be able to generate the profitability it has enjoyed historically. FMC's
financial performance has been heavily dependent on the earnings of its
SUVs.
Outlook:
The competitive dynamics in the car finance industry are expected to put
pressure on the Ford Credit's profitability. Nevertheless, CRISIL's believes
that adequate spreads will be maintained by Ford Credit given its close
relationship with Ford India Limited and the expected enhancements in the
latter's product portfolio.
About
the company: Ford Credit is in the business of car financing, and
finances vehicles manufactured by Ford India Limited. It also extends financial
support to the dealers of Ford India Limited. Ford Credit International
Inc. (a 100 per cent subsidiary of FMCC) owns 55 per cent of Ford Credit
while Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited and Mahindra and Mahindra Limited own
35 per cent and 10 per cent respectively. Ford Credit reported a total profit
after tax of Rs.78.9 million for FY2004-05 (Rs.71.9
million in the previous
year). The company had total receivables under auto finance of Rs.4.95 billion
as at March 31, 2005 (Rs.4.23 billion a year back).