As
widely expected, the US Federal Reserve has left key interest
rates unchanged for the third consecutive time. The Federal
Open Market Committee (FOMC), the US central bank's interest
rate setting body, has left the Fed rate at 5.25 per cent
at its meeting yesterday. This level has been maintained
since June this year, when the Fed ended a rate hike cycle
that saw the Fed rate hiked consecutively for 17 times
by 25 basis points each.
As
in the previous two meetings in August and September,
the decision to hold interest rates steady was not a unanimous
one. One member of the FOMC voted for a 25-per cent hike
in the Fed rate.
The
statement issued by the Fed is almost unchanged from the
previous two meetings. The Fed remains cautious on inflation,
though US economic growth has slowed down. "Readings
on core inflation have been elevated, and the high level
of resource utilisation has the potential to sustain inflation
pressures. However, inflation pressures seem likely to
moderate over time, reflecting reduced impetus from energy
prices, contained inflation expectations, and the cumulative
effects of monetary policy actions and other factors restraining
aggregate demand", the statement said.
The
only change from the September statement was the removal
of high energy prices and commodity prices as potential
factors that could lift inflation.
The
Fed continues to believe that the US economy would have
a soft landing. "Economic growth has slowed over
the course of the year, partly reflecting a cooling of
the housing market. Going forward, the economy seems likely
to expand at a moderate pace", the statement added.
Fed
chairman Ben Bernanke and his team continue to keep policy
options open. As some inflation risks remain, rate hikes
may be required in future. "The extent and timing
of any additional firming that may be needed to address
these risks will depend on the evolution of the outlook
for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by
incoming information", the Fed said in the statement.
However,
most economists and analysts believe that the Fed would
keep interest rates steady in the near future. The Fed's
outlook would change only if inflation rises further or
the US economy slows down further. Further rise in prices,
likely only if crude oil rallies back to record levels,
would force the Fed to go in
for more rate hikes. If the US economy shows signs of
further slow down, pressure on the Fed to go in for a
rate cut would increase.
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