The millennium bug is expected to cost insuring companies
billions in legal costs and claims according to an estimate
by Milliman and Robertson Inc., an actuarial firm in the
US.
(Note:
The Y2K problem happens on systems programmed with
the earlier generation software which coded the year with
just the last 2 digits instead of all 4, to save on memory
and program size. But in the year 2000 these programs
would misbehave- with just 00 in the year's slot
reading it as 1900 instead of 2000.)
The
firm estimates that insurance companies could end up paying
out anywhere between $15 billion to $35 billion for claims
and legal costs due to business interruptions or problems
over misbehaving computers. This could result in small
to medium insurance companies going under. Interestingly,
it is expected that a large chunk of about $5 billion
to $10 billion would go towards the insurers fighting
their customers in court over what is exactly covered
under their policy. A much smaller amount of about $4
to $8 billion could go towards actually paying liability
claims of companies sued against by customers. Lost revenue
claims by businesses undergoing temporary shutdown would
account for about $2 to $4 billion while the rest would
go towards professional errors-and -omissions cases.
The
company states that this would rank among the top insurance
claim cases in the world.
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