Hong
Kong: Lets not confuse the idea of consolidation
- a perfectly natural and often-healthy business phenomenon - with
recession. Despite alarmist predictions that the Internet boom
will grind to a halt by 2001, VeriSign sees a healthy market of
robust dotcom economy businesses emerging over the next two to
three years.
In India, companies like
the financial services giant ICICI and several banks like HDFC
Bank have already successfully ventured into the online arena.
Focused online businesses such as ChemB.com and iPharmaBiz.com
have managed to survive the dotcom onslaught.
With
a unique window into more than 17 million .com, .net, and .org web
addresses, VeriSigns NSI Registrar decided to find out exactly
what most companies are using the Internet for. They asked more
than 4,000 decision-makers, representing a wide array of
industries, about their motivations for developing an online
presence and what they expected out of the dotcom economy.
The results are
encouraging. Although popular perceptions would lead you to
believe that every domain name registered represents a startup
business with zero revenue and wild IPO dreams, reality tells a
different story. VeriSign found that nearly two-thirds (64 per
cent) of businesses that have registered a web address have done
so to develop an online presence for an existing business. In
other words, these are companies with established business models
and real products - the so-called click/brick and mortar
companies.
These companies represent
the best of the Internet explosion. Without seeking to be
revolutionaries, they have nonetheless become the driving force
behind the dotcom economy - using the efficiencies and reach of
the Internet to extend traditional business models into untapped
pools of productivity.
Their expectations for
the Internet are right in line with the healthiest outlooks for
growing robust business lines. Sixty per cent indicated that they
are developing an online presence to attract new customers to
their existing businesses. An additional 23 per cent said that
they expect to improve customer relations through the use of the
Internet. Only 11 per cent indicated that they were motivated by
the momentum of the Internet industry, hoping to take advantage of
the explosion of e-commerce.
As a contrast, while only
20 per cent of responding companies indicated that they registered
a domain name to start a dot com business, nearly half (47 per
cent) of those did so to take advantage of the dotcom boom.
It is true, of course,
that the click/brick and mortar businesses will face significant
challenges integrating their existing business models with their
online presence - hence the looming, and very real, specter of
consolidation. However, the emerging companies will be the most
successful products of an evolutionary process. They will be both
stronger and more nimble, with a battle-hardened sense of business
in the 21st century.
Furthermore, many of
these companies have already overcome significant challenges in
developing their online presence in the first place. Businesses
reported a relatively even split in the factors that had hindered
them from developing an Internet presence. The major inhibitors
have been an unclear business case/return on investment (39 per
cent), lack of expertise (32 per cent), and cost factors (29 per
cent).
In addition to
inhibitors, online businesses also reported a number of concerns
about the continued development of the Internet as a business
tool. Nearly universal among these concerns are the challenge of
keeping pace with technology, time spent in site maintenance, and
security.
More notable are the
patterns that emerge in a comparison of inhibitors and concerns.
For example, companies that were troubled by a lack of expertise
for an Internet development effort are particularly concerned
about keeping pace with Internet technology. Companies that were
challenged by creating a business plan for an online presence find
security to be of particular importance. And, as most would
expect, companies that found cost to be an inhibitor are likewise
worried about the cost of Internet technology in the future.
Another notable exception
to the general trends in concerns emerged when VeriSign looked at
Internet pure-plays - companies whose sole business identity is
web-based. Because the Internet is quite literally the life-blood
of their business model, they are more particularly concerned with
keeping pace with technological development - 44 per cent rate
this as a principal concern - than are online businesses in
general (34 per cent).
Surprisingly, among the
companies that VeriSign spoke with, one highly publicised aspect
of online business rated as a non-issue - privacy. The reasons for
this are unclear, however, the finding does suggest that privacy
is really more of a concern in the realm of consumers, and not one
that enters into the business decision-making process for companies
looking to establish their place on the Internet.
These concerns point
directly toward some of the issues that will need to be resolved
as the dotcom economy continues to evolve. These issues will be
critical discriminators helping to define the Internet success
stories over the next three years.
Arthur
Chang is the managing director (Asia-Pacific), VeriSign, Inc and
VeriSigns NSI Registrar (the worlds largest domain-name
registrar). Since 1996, he has been a columnist for the Hong Kong
financial newspaper The Economic Journal. And for the past
six years, Chang - acting as a specialised Internet consultant -
has provided guidance and knowledge to Internet ventures such as
Unicom media (a subsidiary of Unicom), an e-commerce joint venture
between General Electric Information Services and China Telecom in
Beijing, and China Internet Corporation.
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