Indian
stock markets re-rated by global investors
The domestic stock market is being re-evaluated by global
investors. Till the recent past there were few mutual
funds in the markets and Indian equities remained undervalued
undervalued due to poor demand and lack of funds.
But in the recent past the entry of a large number of
foreign funds has filled that gap and helped in improvement
of the overall rating for the stocks.
Also
the Indian economy has swung up and its fundamentals are
strengthening. As a result Indian equities are outperforming
those in global markets and has there have been no technical
corrections. Fuelling the rise in stock prices is the
copious flow of funds from foreign investors who have
finally woken up to the Indian growth story.
The
rise in stock prices is virtually across the board. Almost
all sectors of economy, particularly the manufacturing
and cyclical, have been the biggest benefactors of this
run up.
The
good monsoon of 2003 translates into agriculture-led GDP
recovery. The projected GDP growth for FY04 is pegged
at 6.5 percent. This will lead to higher rural incomes
and coupled with low interest rates should lead to a revival
in sales of consumer goods. As a result companies like
Hindustan Lever, ITC, Nestle, Britannia and Tata Tea should
gain.
In
the oil and gas sector there is a huge presence of foreign
investors irrespective of the progress of PSU privatisation
programme. Leading companies like ONGC and Indian Oil
Corporation (IOC) have been re-rated with their stock
prices rising 70 percent to 100 percent over the past
three months. Other companies like BRPL, MRPL, Kochi Refineries
and Chennai Petroleum too have shot up in this period.
Steel stocks are also on the rise as Steel companies have
seen a handsome rise in profits as well as valuations.
Most steel companies are using the upturn in steel cycle
to repay expensive debt and reduce costs. Other commodities
like cement, aluminium, zinc and chemicals too have done
well.
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NYSE
may suspend Silverline
The technology heavy Nasdaq suffered losses during last
week with Cisco Systems Inc, registering lower-than-expected
fourth-quarter profit. According to a Bloomberg data,
the Nasdaq's weekly decline was the biggest since January
17.
However,
the broader-indices, the S&P-500 and the Dow Jones
Industrial Average fared better as investors seemed to
prefer energy, consumer and financial companies stocks.
The S&P-500 Index lost 0.3 per cent to 977.59 and
the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4 per cent to
9191.09 last week; the Nasdaq sank 4.2 per cent to 1644.03.
The domestic market was more upbeat on hopes of encouraging
economic indicators. The BSE Sensex gained 1.8 per cent
and the NSE S&P CNX Nifty jumped 2.25 per cent.
As for ADRs, most Indian counters closed the week in negative
territory though Dr. Reddy's Lab, HDFC Bank and VSNL ended
the week firmer.
The
VSNL stock saw a rally on reports that it had sold its
long-distance communications infrastructure to BSNL. Besides
this, VSNL's report that it had acquired assets and network
of an International IP-VPN solution provider in the US,
Europe and Far East on June 30 catapulted it into the
worldwide league of international VPN Service providers.
VSNL closed the week sharply higher at $5.32 ($4.90).
Cisco's
profit figures affected other Infotech counters; Infosys
dropped to $51.19 ($53.80), Satyam to $10.17 ($10.5) and
Wipro to $22.90 ($23.49).
The
New York Stock Exchange announced that it would suspend
the ADR of Silverline Technologies prior to its opening
of trading on August 14. This is in view of Silverline's
announcement that some of its US subsidiaries were filing
for liquidation. Silverline posted (un-audited) consolidated
revenues of $42.05 million for the nine-month period ended
March 31, 2003. The exchange said this indicated that
the company had fallen below the NYSE's continued listing
standards regarding average global market capitalisation
over a consecutive 30 trading-day period of not less than
$50,000,000 and total stockholders' equity of not less
than $50,000,000."
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US
Fed accused of 'manipulating' interest rates
Washington:
After one of the worst US bond market rout in a decade
fingers are being pointed at the Federal Reserve with
many saying that the central bank overplayed its concerns
on deflation in a manipulative effort to push long-term
interest rates lower to pump the economy. Some say the
bank's credibility has been damaged.
There
are divided opinions over the Fed's actions. Some analysts
feel that the Fed acted willingly to suppress, manipulate
and distort free prices though others say misplaced market
bets in the rally that preceded the meltdown could be
the result of an unusually open Fed debate and a complex
policy message than an intention to deceive.
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Samir
Arora, Alliance may contest Sebi ban
Mumbai: Samir Arora, Singapore-based fund manager
of Alliance Capital, who recently exited from Alliance
Capital Mutual Fund and joined Rana talwar's Sabre Capital,
has denied the insider trading charges instituted against
him by the Securities and Exchange of India (Sebi).
Sebi
has banned Arora from the stock market till further orders
on charges of insider trading and compliance inadequacies
and for indulging in unfair trade practices in thwarting
Alliance Capital Management's attempts to sell its Indian
operations.
Arora
may contest the Sebi decision along with Alliance Capital
lawyers. He says he will work in conjunction with Alliance
Capital's lawyers since this matter relates to decisions
taken by him in the capacity as chief investment officer
of Alliance Capital.
Dhawal
Mehta, a research analyst based in India, is likely to
take charge at Alliance in India during the transition
period.
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Sebi
ban on Samir Arora to hit Sabre Capital
Mumbai: Samir Arora's plans of floating a new asset
management company with Rana Talwar's Sabre Capital may
be delayed due the ongoing fracas with the Securities
and Exchange Board of India (Sebi). Arora's new venture
was slated to take off in three months.
Sebi's
order on Saturday directs Arora not to buy, sell or deal
in securities in any manner directly or indirectly on
an immediate basis till further orders. Sebi has taken
exception to the role played by Arora during the period
when Alliance Capital made a bid to sell its AMC business
in India at the end of last year. At the time the fund
manager is said to have joined hands with Henderson Global
Investors to purchase AMC.
Sebi's
order says that Arora's arrangement with Henderson Global
Investors for the purchase of the stake of ACM in ACAML
went against his position as a fund manager. The Sebi
order says Arora tried to create panic in the market with
his announcement of quitting the fund as a result of which
redemptions crossed Rs 1,300 crore from Alliance schemes
in two months.
Thus his conduct erodes investors' confidence and is detrimental
to their interests as well as the safety and integrity
of the securities market. His association in the securities
market in any capacity is prejudicial to the interests
of investors and the safety and integrity of the securities
market," the order said.
Sebi
has initiated action against Arora on alleged insider
trading in software maker Digital Globalsoft and non-disclosure
information after crossing the 5 per cent limit in several
companies.
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Madura
Coats plans to reduce capital
Chennai: Madura Coats, in which foreign promoters,
J.P. Coats Ltd., U.K. and Coats Plc., U.K., hold 93.52
per cent of the total equity, has called an extraordinary
general meeting (EGM) for August 25 to vote on a capital
reduction proposal.
The
company proposes is to reduce the paid-up equity capital
by repaying the public shareholders, other than the promoters.
Shareholders will get a sum of Rs 40 per share against
the par value of Rs 10.
Under
the provisions of Section 100 of the Companies Act, a
company has the right to extinguish any of its shares
that is in excess of its wants.
Madura
Coats claims that the extent of equity held by the public,
just 6.48 per cent (as per its annual report for 2002)
or Rs 3.81 crore (38.13 lakh shares) is in "excess
of its wants". The company has an equity capital
of Rs 58.85 crore.
The
company says it has a high number of public shareholders
who hold small number of shares. The capital reduction
will remove this category of shareholders and reduce the
related administrative cost. But shareholders say the
proposal takes away the right of the public shareholders
to decide whether to stay with the company or not. They
say if the promoters want to acquire 100 per cent control
by repaying public shareholders, they should do so at
book-value as that represents my wealth as a shareholder
of a delisted company.
The book-value of a Madura Coats share is at Rs 61 against
the current price of Rs 40 proposed by the company for
the capital reduction programme.
A
leading chartered accountant in Chennai said that Madura
Coats was on legal grounds.
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