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Indices recover but market remains volatile

Rex Mathew*
6 April 2005


Though the indices managed to close with gains, the intra day movements remained volatile. After opening firm, the market slipped soon to touch yesterday's closing levels but recovered from there. The indices rallied from thereon only to give up part of the gains in an early afternoon bout of selling. The last half an hour saw some buying interest emerge and the indices closed near the highs of the day. Sensex closed at 6606, up 56 points and the Nifty at 2069, up 17 points.

Among index stocks, Zee Telefilms, SAIL and Shipping Corporation were the biggest percentage gainers while Oriental Bank of Commerce, Bharti Tele and Bajaj Auto were the top losers.

US markets extended Monday's gains on declining oil prices and major restructuring plans at pharma major Pfizer. Dow Industrial average added 37 points and NASDAQ added 8 points, close to half a percent.

For the second day, crude declined close to two percent to close at $56.05 to a barrel. Saudi oil company Aramco's plans to set up an export oriented 20 million tonnes per year refinery led to some profit booking in oil futures. US Federal Reserve chairman's statement that the current 'price frenzy' in crude oil will cool down as inventories build up, led to a further decline towards the later part of the day.

Indian ADR's listed on the New York exchange had a bad day with most of them closing with losses. Tata Motors was the major loser declining more than four percent. HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank and Satyam all closed with losses while Infosys and Wipro managed to close in the green.

Asian Development Bank released its outlook for Asian economies for the next three years. The bank expects Indian economy to post a growth of 6.9 percent for fiscal '05 - '06 on a revival in agricultural output. The growth rate for '06 - '07 is expected to decline to 6.1 percent as industry and service sectors slow down and revive to 7 percent for the year '07 - '08. ADB estimates inflation in India during next year to decline to under 5 percent and to around 3 percent for the following two years.

A survey by ICICI Bank among major corporates confirms the bullish industrial outlook. The companies surveyed expect the economy to grow between 6 to 7 percent and are therefore confident of increasing their capital investment budgets. They also expect a stable interest rate environment and an appreciating Rupee.

The board of Maruti Udyog approved capital investment plans totaling Rs3,272 crore. Under the plan, the company will set up two joint ventures with parent Suzuki Motor, one for a new car plant and the second for an engine and transmission unit.

Maruti will hold a 70 percent stake in the new car-assembling unit, which will have an initial capacity of 100,000 units per annum. The engine and transmission plant will focus on diesel engines and transmission units. Suzuki Motor will hold a majority 51 percent stake in this venture.

A consortium led by engineering major Larsen & Toubro won a major order worth Rs.1,864 crore from ONGC. L&T's share of the order is around Rs930 crore and half of the work is expected to be complete this fiscal year. The company also expects three more major contracts to be awarded in the current quarter itself. The stock gained close to a percent in morning trades.

Utility vehicles major Mahindra & Mahindra was hit by a massive Rs304 crore demand from the excise department. The demand pertains to classification of certain models of vehicles during the early 90's. The company is filing an appeal against the demand and is confident of receiving a favorable order. The stock declined more than a percent in morning trades.

Indian Oil said it lost an estimated Rs8,400 crore during last year for subsidizing petroleum products. The company is demanding a price hike of between Rs4.50 to Rs5 to a litre for bridging the losses.

Mid-cap action

There are reports that the Essar Group has entered into an agreement to help build a steel plant in Qatar. The four million tonnes per annum plant is expected to cost $1.25 billion. The group will provide technical inputs as well as supply iron ore pellets to the new venture. However, the extent of investment of the group is not clear and also whether any of the listed companies will be involved. Group companies like Essar Oil, Essar Steel etc gained in morning trades.

Small construction company Subhash Projects bagged an irrigation project order worth Rs99 crore. The stock was locked in the 5 percent upper circuit in early trades.

There are news reports that construction company IVRCL is planning to acquire engineering firm Hindustan Dorr Oliver from the Jumbo group. After disposing Shaw Wallace, the Jumbo group is planning to sell off its other Indian companies as well.

Mid-cap IT firm Rolta made smart gains on a statement from the company about securing software orders worth Rs200 crore. The stock rallied more than 10 percent in early trades.

Small steel stocks bounced back today. Ispat, Bhushan and Uttam were among the significant gainers.

Sugar stocks rallied on expectations of strong results for the quarter ended March '05. Bajaj Hindustan, Dhampur Sugar and Balampur Chini were all major gainers.

Small IT company Aztec Software slipped more than 5 percent on reports of an income tax demand of Rs9 crore. Aztec says it will contest the demand. Many frontline IT companies including Wirpo and TCS have also received large demands from the IT department.

send this article to a friendReliance Industrial Infrastructure, Noida Toll Bridge and GTC Industries were the largest mid-cap gainers with gains of 20 percent each.

ESI Ltd, Welspun Gujarat and South East Asia Marine were among the major losers.

*Disclaimer: The author doesn't have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis/report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices

National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
6,606.41 +56.12
NIFTY 2,069.30 +16.75
Last Update : 6 April, 2005, 16:15 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
ZEE TELEF LT 140.00 148.70 139.70 147.65
RELIANCE* 556.25 572.45 556.25 570.80
HINDUSTAN LEVER LTD. 130.00 133.40 130.00 132.85
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 384.00 392.40 384.00 390.35
HDFC BANK LT 544.70 555.00 540.55 552.70
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP. LTD. 321.85 325.90 319.00 322.30
TATA POWER 348.00 354.80 348.00 352.30
TATA MOTORS 402.25 414.80 402.25 412.25
I T C LTD 1,360.00 1,375.00 1,353.00 1,369.55
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,230.00 1,233.00 1,209.05 1,228.20
WIPRO LTD. 660.00 674.40 660.00 668.90
MARUTI UDYOG 405.45 411.50 398.90 407.85
BHEL 811.00 815.00 802.15 810.30
SATYAM COMP 419.00 427.00 413.15 421.25
STATE BANK OF INDIA 647.00 655.90 646.00 651.70
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 413.00 417.00 408.50 413.15
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 362.00 364.45 360.00 363.60
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,225.00 2,239.60 2,211.00 2,232.10
ONG CORP LTD 912.00 920.00 897.00 916.45
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 750.00 755.00 745.80 747.35
BHARTI TELE 218.00 218.50 211.00 212.20
BAJAJ AUTO 1,092.00 1,092.00 1,062.00 1,066.00
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 728.00 728.00 710.10 714.75
HEROHONDA M 541.00 545.00 532.00 535.50
HINDALCO IN 1,372.00 1,378.00 1,352.00 1,365.00
CIPLA LTD. 260.10 261.00 258.00 259.40
ICICI BANK L 425.00 429.00 418.55 424.05
Larsen & Toubro Limited 1,025.75
Ranbaxy Labs 995.20
Reliance Energy 534.30
Last Update : 6 April, 2005, 16:05PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
RELIANCE 558.00 572.90 558.00 571.60
TISCO 394.40 394.40 384.50 390.45
MARUTI 406.00 411.85 398.20 407.50
SBIN 649.00 654.40 646.30 651.55
INFOSYSTCH 2225.00 2240.00 2211.00 2236.30
ONGC 912.25 920.00 897.10 915.55
ICICIBANK 422.80 429.00 418.55 425.25
SATYAMCOMP 419.00 428.85 413.20 421.90
TATAMOTORS 408.00 415.90 406.40 412.25
SAIL 62.75 64.75 62.55 64.30
PNB 392.50 394.00 387.00 388.95
M&M 495.90 512.00 476.30 480.60
ORIENTBANK 318.00 319.00 297.50 300.10
TCS 1427.00 1448.00 1427.00 1441.35
BPCL 366.80 370.95 362.00 365.85
ITC 1354.00 1377.00 1350.00 1370.60
HINDPETRO 318.85 325.80 318.85 321.50
LT 1031.90 1055.00 1021.05 1025.00
RANBAXY 1009.30 1009.30 992.00 995.65
ZEETELE 140.00 148.90 140.00 147.85
HDFC 726.85 726.85 710.50 714.95
HCLTECH 382.00 386.00 376.15 379.95
WIPRO 661.10 673.70 656.00 669.45
BHEL 803.00 815.90 803.00 810.70
GAIL 218.90 219.55 216.25 217.55
ACC 363.00 364.60 361.50 363.50
HINDLEVER 131.80 133.25 129.80 132.75
GUJAMBCEM 409.00 415.00 407.70 412.90
IPCL 170.40 172.80 170.15 172.20
HDFCBANK 536.25 557.00 536.25 553.35
TATAPOWER 348.00 353.75 347.05 351.70
REL 535.00 538.50 532.25 534.80
BHARTI 218.90 218.90 210.15 211.90
MTNL 118.00 119.20 116.50 118.15
DRREDDY 750.00 755.00 745.05 747.75
TATACHEM 155.50 157.80 152.75 156.00
SCI 153.00 157.85 152.00 156.85
BAJAJAUTO 1094.40 1094.40 1064.05 1068.15
HEROHONDA 545.00 549.00 532.00 535.30
GRASIM 1207.10 1238.00 1207.10 1228.00
CIPLA 260.00 262.80 257.25 258.80
HINDALC0 1366.00 1379.80 1355.15 1368.95
DABUR 111.85 113.30 110.00 111.55
NATIONALUM 173.50 174.00 171.70 172.45
VSNL 194.90 198.00 193.00 196.85
SUNPHARMA 452.35 468.80 452.35 462.05
TATATEA 526.55 539.00 524.00 533.25
ABB 1162.30 1189.90 1160.00 1166.20
GLAXO 698.00 708.80 696.30 705.80
COLGATE 180.05 183.90 180.00 183.15
Last Update : 6 April, 2005, 16:04PM

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Indices recover but market remains volatile