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Late rally helps indices to close marginally higher

Rex Mathew*
28 April 2005


The continuing sell off in Indian ADR's in US markets saw the domestic markets opening weak in the morning. Technology stocks and select other frontline stocks opened on a weak note.

After remaining sideways till around noon, the indices declined as bank stocks turned weak after the RBI declared its monetary policy.

The last hour of trade saw some short covering as today was the last day of trade of the April series for the futures and options segment. The indices pulled back into the green as some of the heavyweights like ITC, HDFC, Reliance, etc, gained and the morning's losers cut part of their losses.

Sensex closed at 6284, up 6 points and the Nifty at 1941, up 6 points. Nifty May futures closed the day at a discount of 25 points to the spot index.

Among Nifty stocks, Sun Pharma, VSNL and Hero Honda were the major percentage gainers while Oriental Bank of Commerce, Punjab National Bank and ICICI Bank were the major losers.

After opening weak, US markets bounced back yesterday to close in the positive. The indices were affected by reports of lower demand for durables which raised concerns of slowing economic growth. However, a sharp slide in oil prices perked up the market by mid-day. Dow closed almost half a per cent higher while NASDAQ had a more modest rise of less than one fifth of a per cent.

Crude oil futures for June delivery plunged 5 per cent to close at $51.61 per barrel after US inventory data showed a sharp jump. Oil prices have been declining ever since Bush met the Saudi crown prince and talked about the need to increase supplies and cool prices.

ADR's of Indian companies had a bloody day yesterday with all of them closing in the red. The tech pack continued their downslide from Tuesday as Infosys lost close to 3 per cent after a 6 per cent fall on the previous day. Satyam and Wipro were no exception. ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Tata Motors all lost ground. MTNL lost over 4 per cent while VSNL ended marginally lower.

RBI has left the monetary policy virtually unchanged. The central bank expects the economy to grow at 7 per cent for fiscal 2006. Inflation outlook given is 5 — 5.5 per cent and RBI believes interest rate cycle may have bottomed out last year. RBI expects forex inflows for the current year to slow down as compared to last year. The bullish outlook on economic growth is indeed heartening.

The only rate change effected was a hike in reverse repo rate by 0.25 per cent. Reverse repo is the RBI term for its borrowing from the market to absorb excess liquidity. This hike means RBI expects some inflationary pressure at least in the short term and would like to keep liquidity low to manage price levels.

Banking stocks reacted negatively to the hike as bond prices fell. Almost all bank stocks declined. SBI, ICICI Bank and Punjab National Bank all lost ground immediately after the policy announcement.

Telecom major Bharti Televentures delivered results which were above expectations. For the year ended March 2005, the company had a profit growth of 132 per cent on a revenue growth of over 60 percent.

What surprised the analysts more is the strong fourth quarter growth in both revenues and profits as compared to the third quarter. The margins have expanded even as the average revenues per user per month declined from Rs519 to Rs504.

The company's revenues for the full year has crossed Rs8,000 crore. Mobile subscriber base of the company is inching closer to the 11 million mark. The company claims to be the only player with presence in all telecom circles. The stock gained over 2 per cent on announcement of results.

Wipro has won an IT infrastructure management contract from European chemicals major Akzo Nobel. The multi-million Euro contract is for managing Akzo Nobel's data centres in Europe. Wipro may also get some SAP related work from Akzo.

ONGC is establishing a joint venture with British oil explorer Cairn Energy for setting up an oil refinery and transportation pipe lines in the state of Rajasthan. Cairn Energy has made large oil reserves in the Rajasthan desert. The venture will have equal equity participation from both partners and the initial capital will be Rs100 crore.

Mid-cap action

Godrej Consumer reported a 50 per cent rise in profits for the quarter ended March 2005 as compared to previous year on sales growth of close to 20 per cent. For the full year profits have grown close to 40 per cent to almost Rs90 crore.

Mid-cap software stock Polaris crashed after the company announced weak results for the quarter ended March. Net profits declined over 25 per cent even as revenues went up by 17 per cent. The company says the costs have gone up on investments made for product development and expects the pressure to continue for the next few quarters.

Even the announcement of a share buy back could not save the stock as it went down over 15 per cent after the results came out.

Industrial abrasives manufacturer Carborundum Universal jumped close to 10 per cent in early trades after the company announced a liberal one for one bonus. The company also has a BPO division which offers page setting and other publishing related services to overseas customers.

Plastic pipe and container manufacturer Sintex Industries will acquire a majority stake in Zeppelin India from its German parent. Zeppelin manufactures plastic shelters for mobile hospitals, telecom transmitting towers etc. The target company reportedly has a turnover of Rs40 crore and is one of the largest manufacturers of such shelters in India.

Shoppers Stop IPO opened today after the Supreme Court vacated the stay imposed by the Guwahati High Court earlier. According to reports, the issue had been fully subscribed soon after opening.

Ador Welding, formerly Advani Oerlikon, gained over 12 per cent after the company announced a sharp jump in profits yesterday. The company manufactures welding equipment and power tools and is one of the market leaders.

send this article to a friendAmong mid-cap stocks Dabur Pharma, Rajasthan Spinning and SRF were the significant percentage gainers.

Bank of India, Allahabad Bank and Shreyas Bank were among the major mid-cap losers.

*Disclaimer: The author does not have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis / report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices

National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)
SENSEX
6,284.20 +5.70
NIFTY 1,941.30 +5.90
Last Update : 28 April, 2005, 16:15 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
I T C LTD 1,402.00 1,470.00 1,402.00 1,451.55
BHARTI TELE 205.00 208.60 199.00 207.65
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 728.95 759.00 725.40 748.85
HEROHONDA M 499.10 523.05 499.10 516.00
SATYAM COMP 407.00 428.00 407.00 418.35
CIPLA LTD. 255.00 258.75 249.00 257.80
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 900.00 929.70 875.25 917.60
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 424.00 432.95 422.10 426.75
RELIANCE* 537.70 544.40 533.30 542.65
ONG CORP LTD 832.00 842.50 826.00 835.40
HINDUSTAN LEVER LTD. 142.90 144.70 138.30 143.40
WIPRO LTD. 638.00 647.90 635.00 639.05
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 975.00 979.00 968.00 971.70
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 363.00 369.50 359.30 365.50
TATA POWER 349.70 353.50 345.20 350.50
STATE BANK OF INDIA 618.90 621.00 600.80 604.25
ICICI BANK L 384.00 384.00 370.00 375.10
BHEL 819.00 823.95 796.00 803.05
ZEE TELEF LT 130.00 132.80 128.90 129.60
RELIANCE ENR* 491.50 494.40 480.00 484.80
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 349.00 352.40 342.05 343.45
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 652.00 660.00 645.00 649.30
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,222.00 1,222.00 1,188.00 1,212.85
MARUTI UDYOG 421.25 426.50 412.60 414.90
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP. LTD. 322.50 324.10 316.15 318.10
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 1,905.00 1,915.00 1,890.15 1,904.80
BAJAJ AUTO 1,091.05 1,105.00 1,080.00 1,091.05
HINDALCO IN 1,240.10 1,250.00 1,231.00 1,250.00
HDFC BANK LT 535.00 537.95 529.00 536.65
Last Update : 28 April, 2005, 16:05PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
RELIANCE 539.80 550.00 533.35 543.85
SATYAMCOMP 411.00 491.00 407.25 419.30
INFOSYSTCH 1910.00 1915.00 1890.00 1905.60
SBIN 620.00 621.00 601.25 604.20
TISCO 352.00 352.50 341.60 343.35
RANBAXY 908.50 926.90 877.05 912.00
ONGC 835.00 855.00 825.00 836.80
TCS 1115.10 1130.00 1097.15 1114.80
WIPRO 635.00 649.00 635.00 643.35
ITC 1406.00 1474.00 1400.10 1450.30
TATAMOTORS 432.75 433.00 420.25 427.85
MARUTI 420.00 426.45 412.60 414.80
BHARTI 201.95 208.40 199.20 207.45
HINDLEVER 142.30 146.00 138.10 144.50
PNB 368.75 371.00 350.00 352.15
ORIENTBANK 285.35 285.35 266.00 271.15
ICICIBANK 387.00 387.00 368.00 379.15
M&M 444.00 448.00 431.05 436.35
CIPLA 255.00 258.90 248.50 257.70
DRREDDY 656.00 659.00 639.05 645.05
SAIL 54.20 54.80 53.70 54.00
HDFC 725.50 765.00 717.00 752.45
IPCL 166.00 167.95 163.40 166.35
GAIL 208.10 209.00 204.05 204.95
MTNL 115.50 117.50 114.60 116.25
GUJAMBCEM 424.00 434.80 421.75 429.00
BAJAJAUTO 1084.00 1104.05 1080.10 1096.40
BHEL 822.50 824.90 795.55 803.45
HEROHONDA 502.00 526.00 501.10 521.00
HCLTECH 345.00 352.90 335.10 346.55
HINDPETRO 319.00 324.00 315.00 317.05
VSNL 207.45 216.00 205.00 212.00
HINDALC0 1240.00 1260.00 1228.10 1239.10
ACC 364.10 372.00 355.05 367.45
BPCL 356.80 358.85 350.25 354.40
SCI 149.00 149.00 143.00 145.05
NATIONALUM 153.30 153.90 150.55 151.80
GRASIM 1207.45 1226.95 1188.05 1215.60
HDFCBANK 537.00 544.00 525.25 539.85
REL 490.00 496.00 475.60 480.65
TATATEA 523.35 525.85 518.00 520.60
TATAPOWER 351.50 354.50 345.25 351.20
DABUR 118.00 120.60 116.10 119.75
ZEETELE 132.75 133.00 129.00 129.90
SUNPHARMA 484.00 525.80 465.55 514.65
LT 981.00 981.00 969.00 971.25
COLGATE 198.00 207.30 198.00 204.20
TATACHEM 151.00 155.00 150.55 153.90
GLAXO 706.25 731.25 706.25 728.75
ABB 1265.00 1265.00 1216.00 1239.20
Last Update : 28 April, 2005, 16:04PM

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Late rally helps indices to close marginally higher