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Indices stage a strong rebound

Rex Mathew*
16 May 2005


Markets opened with a positive gap after last week's trend of sideways movement. There was no major positive global news flow to cheer the markets apart from the rebound in US technology stocks on Friday.

The up move gained strength from early in the afternoon as auto stocks spurted and software stocks also found some buying support on news flows.

Auto stocks gained ahead of the petroleum minister's meeting with the finance minister on fuel price hike. There were also reports that left parties are opposed to any fuel price hike. This led the markets to believe that petrol and diesel prices would remain at these levels and hence automobile sales will not be affected.

Sensex closed at 6528, up 76 points and the Nifty at 2013, up 24 points. Nifty May futures discount to the spot index remained at 11 points.

Among Nifty stocks, Maruti, Bajaj Auto and Tata Motors were the major percentage gainers while Zee Tele, HCL Technologies and Ranbaxy were the major losers.

On Friday, US markets gave a mixed trend as old economy stocks on the New York stock exchange met with some selling pressure and technology stocks on the NASDAQ gained. Dow was down close to half a per cent whereas NASDAQ gained over half a per cent. Technology stocks were boosted by continuing good results from companies, Dell being the latest to join the party.

Crude oil futures on NYMEX inched up marginally on Friday's trade. After declining below the $48 mark in early trades, crude bounced back as traders covered their short positions.

Indian ADR's had a mixed day as technology stocks held ground and others ended with losses. Telecom stocks MTNL and VSNL were the biggest losers followed by banking stocks HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. Satyam gained over a per cent, Infosys closed with marginal gains and Wipro closed marginally lower.

Investment bank Morgan Stanley does not expect any revaluation of the Chinese currency during the next 6 months and believes that the revaluation will not be more than 5 to 6 per cent when it happens. In its opinion, most other Asian currencies would gain during the year.

Israeli pharmaceutical company Teva, the second largest generics player in the world with over $4 billion in revenues, has hired former head of Ranbaxy, D S Brar, as advisor. There is widespread speculation in industry circles that Teva is very close to acquiring a large Indian drug company.

Infosys gained over 2 per cent on news of a multi-million dollar contract from Singapore banking group, Development Bank of Singapore. DBS group is the largest domestic banking group in Singapore and has a minor presence in India also.

Reliance Industries is planning to increase the capacity of its crude oil refinery to 60 million tones per annum over the next few years. Once completed, Reliance will become the largest oil refiner in the country overtaking Indian Oil. Reliance is also planning to have its retail fuel chain in place before the capacity addition.

Tata Motors, which is set to announce its results today, gained close to 4 per cent. There are reports that the company's passenger cars have achieved better than expected sales in South Africa.

Other automobile shares also received good buying support. Maruti and Bajaj Auto both gained over 4 per cent each. Auto sales are expected to benefit from the decline in crude prices. Auto stocks had declined over the last few months because of the sharp rice in crude prices.

Bharti Tele had some buying support later in the afternoon and the stock closed with gains of over 2 per cent. The telecom regulatory authority has given its recommendations to the government on allocation of frequency spectrum for advanced telecom services like 3G.

TRAI has recommended that the additional spectrum may be given without any additional license fee to existing players on the same revenue sharing formula. It has also recommended that the government's revenue share should be reduced further to 4 per cent. Both these developments are widely considered as positive for Bharti.

MTNL is aggressively pushing its broadband services in Delhi and Mumbai. In Mumbai alone it plans to add another 90,000 broadband subscribers this year and over 2 lakh mobile telephone subscribers. The public sector telecom company is planning a capex of over Rs800 crore in Mumbi to enhance its network.

Mid-cap action

Textile stocks received all round buying support on reports of the US imposing quota restrictions on garment imports from China. It is widely believed that Indian garment exporters would be able to achieve better volume growth as India is the only major source for garments which can be an alternative to China.

Industry body ASSOCHAM believes that Indian garment exports to US could go up by 50 per cent if the US restriction on Chinese goods remains.

Balrampur Chini, which was till recently India's largest sugar manufacturer before losing that position to Bajaj Hindustan, reported excellent results for the quarter ended March. Profits have more than doubled as revenues grew under 10 per cent.

Balrampur Chini believes that sugar prices would move with an upward bias as there is no stock pile up with manufacturers. The company is one of the few who have cleared all its dues to farmers in the state of UP where farmers' bargaining power is increasing.

The country's largest organised retailer, Pantaloon, continued its upward trend from Friday as the company announced opening of 3 new outlets today. 2 of the outlets are in the Mumbai region and the third is in Ghaziabad, near Delhi.

Construction company IVRCL moved up smartly as the company announced orders worth close to Rs400 crore. The orders are for road construction projects in Tamil Nadu.

Nagarjuna Constructions announced a stock split and a final dividend of 40 per cent. The company's Rs10 shares will be split into 5 shares of Rs2 each.

Shanti Gears, the south based manufacturer of industrial gears, crashed over 10 per cent after the company announced disappointing results for the quarter ended March 2005. Profits for the quarter declined even as revenues showed a healthy growth as compared to the previous year.

send this article to a friendAmong mid-cap stocks, Universal Cables, RPG Life Sciences and JB Chemicals were the significant percentage gainers.

Sundaram Brake Linings, Blue Dart and Rallis India were among the major mid-cap losers.

*Disclaimer: The author does not have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis / report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices

National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
6,528.03 +76.49
NIFTY 2,012.60 +24.30
Last Update : 16 May, 2005, 16:15 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
BAJAJ AUTO 1,130.10 1,195.00 1,130.10 1,191.55
MARUTI UDYOG 435.70 455.90 435.70 453.80
WIPRO LTD. 640.00 661.80 637.50 659.20
TATA MOTORS 435.90 449.90 434.00 447.95
BHEL 835.05 866.00 824.00 861.45
BHARTI TELE 215.65 222.90 215.60 221.75
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,035.00 2,084.40 2,035.00 2,077.00
STATE BANK OF INDIA 619.55 634.00 619.55 632.70
SATYAM COMP 424.00 431.65 424.00 429.65
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 666.10 680.00 663.05 674.95
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 1,020.00 1,042.90 1,020.00 1,030.50
ONG CORP LTD 880.00 893.00 877.00 890.30
HINDUSTAN LEVER LTD. 131.80 133.20 131.10 132.85
HEROHONDA M 546.00 553.00 542.15 551.80
HDFC BANK LT 534.80 540.00 534.80 538.45
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 360.00 363.80 359.00 362.90
RELIANCE* 536.20 543.50 536.20 540.20
HINDALCO IN 1,229.00 1,229.00 1,206.00 1,218.50
I T C LTD 1,475.00 1,496.00 1,470.00 1,487.90
ICICI BANK L 393.50 398.00 392.00 396.40
ZEE TELEF LT 157.00 157.00 152.65 153.75
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 982.00 984.75 968.50 973.45
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,145.00 1,145.05 1,130.70 1,136.10
CIPLA LTD. 283.30 285.65 279.05 280.30
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 767.20 771.00 760.00 765.25
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 444.10 446.30 441.00 442.35
TATA POWER 369.00 371.80 365.00 368.00
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 394.00 395.00 389.10 390.85
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP. LTD. 331.90 332.90 327.50 329.70
Last Update : 16 May, 2005, 16:05PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
INFOSYSTCH 2040.00 2084.90 2040.00 2077.90
SATYAMCOMP 429.15 431.25 424.25 429.45
RELIANCE 537.50 543.65 537.50 540.25
SBIN 648.00 648.00 621.05 633.40
MARUTI 437.00 456.00 436.00 453.90
TCS 1145.00 1158.90 1142.25 1154.30
TATAMOTORS 433.00 450.00 433.00 448.70
TISCO 360.00 364.80 359.00 363.15
ONGC 879.90 893.00 879.90 889.60
ITC 1475.00 1496.90 1470.10 1487.25
ORIENTBANK 258.85 258.85 254.00 257.15
WIPRO 640.50 664.00 636.20 659.00
HDFC 769.90 773.00 758.05 764.80
PNB 373.00 384.90 373.00 382.65
SAIL 52.90 53.45 52.50 52.70
RANBAXY 983.00 985.95 969.00 973.30
M&M 462.00 473.50 462.00 472.30
ZEETELE 157.00 157.00 153.10 154.05
BHEL 835.00 865.00 831.10 860.05
BHARTI 215.00 223.90 215.00 222.50
ACC 400.00 400.00 389.75 391.00
HINDLEVER 132.00 133.50 131.10 132.65
LT 1020.00 1042.00 1020.00 1030.90
MTNL 114.10 118.55 114.10 117.85
BAJAJAUTO 1137.00 1195.00 1137.00 1190.25
TATAPOWER 368.00 372.00 364.15 369.20
GRASIM 1143.00 1147.50 1130.60 1136.00
TATACHEM 156.45 165.00 156.45 163.20
HINDPETRO 330.00 333.00 327.50 329.65
BPCL 375.00 377.75 369.00 375.90
GAIL 218.00 220.45 218.00 219.10
HCLTECH 356.00 357.25 342.00 347.75
ICICIBANK 394.00 400.00 392.10 398.10
DRREDDY 665.00 680.00 662.05 675.65
IPCL 166.10 167.45 164.00 165.95
GUJAMBCEM 448.80 448.80 441.05 442.85
CIPLA 284.00 284.90 279.50 280.65
HDFCBANK 539.00 542.00 534.50 539.60
HEROHONDA 552.00 554.80 542.15 552.05
NATIONALUM 150.10 151.50 149.25 149.80
SCI 149.00 150.50 148.05 148.50
HINDALC0 1229.00 1229.50 1208.00 1217.70
TATATEA 545.00 549.00 542.60 544.10
REL 499.10 504.30 498.60 499.65
COLGATE 211.50 213.50 211.50 212.40
COLGATE 211.50 213.50 211.50 212.40
SUNPHARMA 508.45 510.00 503.05 509.15
DABUR 125.90 125.90 124.50 125.00
GLAXO 745.00 754.90 744.00 747.40
Last Update : 16 May, 2005, 16:04PM

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Indices stage a strong rebound