It is getting a bit unexciting now. Fifth straight day of gains, fourth
straight day of new all-time highs and the sensex closing above 6900 for the
first time ever. Even history will lose relevance if we keep re-writing it
every day. Sensex closed at 6915, up 36 points and the Nifty at 2169, a gain
of 9 points. The Nifty futures discount to the spot index narrowed to 6 points.
Crude
closed marginally lower on news that OPEC may not cut production. US markets
were mixed with NASDAQ rallying and Dow closing lower. Tech stocks on NASDAQ
found all round buying as robust economy is expected to push up demand for
technology products. Indian ADR's had a mixed day. HDFC Bank was the major
gainer with gains of 2.5 per cent. Telecom stocks VSNL and MTNL as well as
IT majors managed gains while Tata Motors and Dr. Reddy's closed lower. ICICI
Bank and Infosys closed marginally lower. IMF
expects good days ahead for the world economy with growth rates of 4.3 per
cent. It predicts a weaker US dollar and increasing currency appreciation
risks for Europe and Japan. The IMF expects the US economy to post a healthy
growth rate of 3.7 per cent. Investment
bank JP Morgan revised its year end sensex target to 8000 post budget from
7000 earlier. JP Morgan predicts an overall re-rating for the Indian market
from additional domestic flows into the market. IT, banking, petrochemicals
and infrastructure companies are the most attractive sectors as per the bank.
Aluminium
majors Nalco and Hindalco were major gainers with the former gaining more
than 8 per cent on short covering in the futures market. Pharma
majors Ranbaxy, Cipla and Dr Reddy's, who have been rank under-performers
over the last year rallied in after noon trades. All the three gained more
than 3 per cent each. Tata
Steel plans to raise steel prices next month. It will invest around Rs3,000
crore in the proposed Bangladesh steel plant and is scouting for acquisition
targets in East Asia and China. The stock closed marginally up. Tech
stocks kept the market up with strong gains following the rally in US tech
stocks on NASDAQ yesterday. Satyam gained close to 3 per cent while Infosys
and TCS ended up close to 1 per cent each. Wipro was the only loser but the
stock had made strong gains over the last few sessions. TCS intends to develop
its software assisted drug discovery business for the global pharma industry.
This system has the potential to cut down drug discovery costs by as much
as 50 per cent. HDFC
Bank was another gainer as the bank's ADR rallied overnight at the New York
stock exchange. Foreign institutions are lapping up HDFC for its superior
management and as a good proxy for the 'India growth story'. Auto
stocks Mahindra and Maruti continued their downtrend. February was a disappointing
month for most auto companies with sales declining as compared to January.
Auto companies have witnessed strong demand pickup over the last few years
and some of them may find it difficult to maintain the growth rates going
forward as the base has become much larger. Commercial
vehicle manufacturers may be better off as the rapid development of the highway
network is expected to boost demand. CV majors Tata Motors and Ashok Leyland
bucked the downtrend with the latter gaining more than 5 per cent. Tata Motors
had launched a major initiative in fully built buses and coaches yesterday
aiming a turnover of over $1 billion over the next few years from this segment. Mid-cap
action
Private sector
bank Bank of Rajastan made strong gains as its board approved a stake sale
of not more than 14.75 per cent to a group of foreign investors. French banking
major Societe General (SG) is believed to be undertaking a due diligence on
the bank for picking up a 5 per cent stake. Other
private sector mid-cap banks like IndusInd and South Indian Bank also saw
good buying on expectations of stake sales to foreign banks. IndusInd gained
more than 7 per cent. UB
group stocks, UB Limited, UB Holdings and McDowell Ltd continued their rally
as the group announced its intention to consolidate the liquor businesses. SSI
was locked at the 20 per cent upper circuit for the second day. Scandent,
the de-merged IT services division of SSI is to be listed on the stock exchanges
tomorrow. Mid-cap
public sector banks continued their rally led by Bank of India and Andhra
Bank with gains of more than 5 per cent each. Allahabad Bank gained more than
4 per cent. Orient
Paper saw strong buying as the company increased paper prices by Rs500 to
Rs1,000 per tonne. The company is expected to post good results more as a
result of its cement operations than paper. FII's have increased their exposure
to the counter. Yesterday
if it was cash with domestic funds waiting to come to the markets, today it
was additional India specific funds being raised in Japan
that kept the market buoyant. Investors would do well to wait for a correction
before bringing fresh money into the market.
*Disclaimer:
The author doesn't have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned
above at the time of writing this article. This analysis/report is only
for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers
are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment
decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information
provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible
for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.
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