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Markets decline on Black Monday anniversary

Rex Mathew*
17 May 2005


Indices opened on a positive note after yesterday's strong rally in the US and stable crude prices. The positive sentiment soon subsided and the indices declined fast.

From mid-morning to early afternoon, the markets were stuck in a range as IT stock held the markets from further decline.

IT stocks gave in soon after and the indices declined further to close around the lows of the day.

Sensex closed at 6466, down 62 points and the Nifty at 1991, down 22 points. Nifty May futures discount to the spot index widened to 24 points from yesterday's 11 points.

Among Nifty stocks, Oriental Bank of Commerce, Dr Reddy's and Shipping Corporation were the major percentage gainers while SAIL, Glaxo and Reliance were the major losers.

On Monday, US markets rallied as old economy stock joined the technology party. The Dow gained over a per cent as financial sector stocks found favour among investors. Technology stocks held firm after Friday's strong showing and helped the NASDAQ to close nearly a per cent higher. The only sector which remained lacklustre was oil which remained weak on lower oil prices.

Crude oil futures for June delivery on NYMEX declined marginally on yesterday's trade. The commodity followed the same trading pattern of Friday and opened weak on Monday. However, part of loss was recovered in the afternoon and oil futures managed to close above the $48-mark. OPEC has said it can increase output by year end and is committed to keep prices lower.

Yesterday, Indian ADR's had one of the best days in recent memory on the US exchanges. Infosys led the bounce back by gaining over 4 per cent. Tata Motors led the non-IT stocks with gains of over 3 per cent. Dr. Reddy's, Satyam and Wipro all made gains of over a per cent each. MTNL, ICICI Bank and VSNL also managed to close in the positive.

On the first anniversary of the worst-ever crash in Indian stock market history, market regulator SEBI issued orders against UBS Securities which is a major foreign investor. SEBI has said that UBS benefited by making massive sales on Nifty futures on that day. It has barred UBS from issuing overseas derivatives to its clients for the next one year.

UBS on its part said it does not agree with the regulator's findings. The company is seeking legal opinion on the order issued by SEBI.

Tata Motors declared its last quarter and full year results for the period ended March 2005. Profits for the full year have grown over 50 per cent on growth in revenue of over 30 per cent as compared to the previous year. The fourth quarter profits have grown over 33 per cent as revenues rose around 20 per cent.

The company says the industry, both commercial and passenger sides, may not see the same growth as previous few years. First quarter commercial vehicle sales may also take a hit because of introduction of Euro III norms in large cities. The company admits it will face cost pressure from rising input costs.

On the new product launches, Tata Motors says its small commercial vehicle introduced recently is receiving good response. The newly introduced ranges of buses are also receiving good orders.

In what could be a major boost to Indian software, European banking giant ABN AMRO is reported to be close to finalising a long term multi-billion dollar outsourcing contract. The contract will be split among multiple vendors. Infosys and TCS are believed to be front runners for bagging large parts of the deal.

IT stocks Infosys, Satyam and TCS were trading firm till early afternoon. Satyam was the biggest gainer after news of a small $1-million order from Jordan. Infosys and Wipro could not sustain the gains and closed with losses. Satyam, however, managed to close with gains.

ONGC Videsh, the overseas investment arm of ONGC, has increased its bid for a Canadian company's oil assets in Ecuador. The company has bid $1.4 billion for Encana's stake in five discovered and two exploration fields.

Mid-cap action

Retail stock broking company, India Infoline, made its entrance on the stock exchanges today after its recent IPO. The stock, issued at Rs76 per share, listed on both NSE and BSE above Rs.80. The stock closed at Rs78 on the NSE after touching an intra-day high of Rs89.

India Infoline is planning to raise Rs150 crore through a debt issue. The company raised over Rs90 crore through the IPO.

Mid-cap IT company Mastek is planning a new development centre in Pune. The new centre will have capacity for over 500 professionals.

Royal Airways announced that its low cost airline, Spicejet, will start operations on 23 May. The airline is targeting the upper end railway travellers and would price some of its tickets as low as Rs99. The stock gained over 2 per cent in early trades.

Bongaigaon Refineries gained over 5 per cent in early trades after the company announced close to 200 per cent growth in profits for the last quarter ended March 2005. The quarter was an excellent one for oil refineries as high crude prices pushed up refining margins.

Housing finance company Dewan Housing was another stock to attract buying interest after announcement of results. The stock gained over 15 per cent in early trades after the company reported a profit growth of more than 15 per cent for the fourth quarter ended March 2005. The company is planning to raise additional resources of up to Rs500 crore by way of a debenture issue.

Kale Consultants was one stock which lost ground after announcement of weak results. The company reported a loss for the quarter ended March 2005 as against a profit for the same quarter the year before. The company is into development of software and BPO solutions for the airline and travel industries.

Among mid-cap stocks, Godrej Industries, Nilkamal Plastics and Allsec were the significant percentage gainers.

send this article to a friendApcotex Lattices, Jindal Photo and SB&T International were among the major mid-cap losers.

*Disclaimer: The author does not have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis / report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices

National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
6,466.00 -62.03
NIFTY 1,990.80 -21.80
Last Update : 17 May, 2005, 16:15 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 675.10 695.00 671.00 683.85
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 447.00 449.40 440.60 445.30
BHEL 861.00 868.50 852.00 863.30
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 765.00 770.50 763.00 766.60
ICICI BANK L 395.05 403.25 393.30 396.50
SATYAM COMP 431.00 437.60 426.25 429.70
RELIANCE* 540.55 544.00 525.00 526.00
TATA POWER 372.00 372.00 358.00 359.40
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 364.90 367.40 352.10 353.80
RELIANCE ENR* 507.00 507.75 484.00 487.45
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 393.00 393.85 380.00 382.35
ONG CORP LTD 893.00 894.00 864.00 872.00
ZEE TELEF LT 154.00 155.90 148.65 151.05
MARUTI UDYOG 454.90 456.00 440.25 445.85
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 976.80 976.80 955.25 960.35
BAJAJ AUTO 1,165.25 1,190.00 1,150.00 1,177.60
HINDUSTAN LEVER LTD. 133.70 134.00 130.90 131.55
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP. LTD. 334.00 334.00 324.50 326.60
WIPRO LTD. 661.00 669.00 650.00 653.15
STATE BANK OF INDIA 635.50 637.90 623.25 627.15
BHARTI TELE 223.45 224.00 216.00 219.95
HINDALCO IN 1,220.00 1,221.95 1,203.00 1,209.00
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 1,038.80 1,038.90 1,020.05 1,024.20
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,039.00 2,110.00 2,039.00 2,064.40
I T C LTD 1,493.90 1,493.90 1,468.25 1,479.15
CIPLA LTD. 280.50 281.50 276.55 279.05
Last Update : 17 May, 2005, 16:05PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
INFOSYSTCH 2084.00 2116.00 2055.60 2063.95
RELIANCE 542.00 543.70 524.95 525.95
SATYAMCOMP 432.00 437.70 427.30 430.20
SBIN 635.00 640.00 623.15 627.40
TATAMOTORS 452.00 454.40 440.05 446.65
TISCO 365.00 367.45 352.50 354.05
MARUTI 455.00 456.75 440.15 446.00
ONGC 890.00 895.00 868.00 874.45
TCS 1161.10 1164.70 1144.40 1150.55
ORIENTBANK 258.35 264.40 255.25 259.55
SAIL 52.90 53.20 50.85 51.05
ITC 1460.10 1493.00 1460.10 1478.80
PNB 390.00 390.00 377.40 379.45
WIPRO 659.00 669.85 654.00 657.45
HINDLEVER 133.00 133.70 131.00 131.70
HDFC 764.00 771.70 762.05 766.35
M&M 476.00 476.75 467.50 472.60
BAJAJAUTO 1172.00 1189.00 1165.00 1176.45
SCI 158.45 158.45 148.60 149.50
BHEL 861.00 869.90 851.25 860.80
RANBAXY 975.00 975.00 954.00 960.90
BHARTI 222.00 224.00 217.00 219.50
BPCL 375.90 378.90 370.00 376.15
ACC 392.30 394.00 380.00 381.75
GUJAMBCEM 444.40 449.35 440.00 445.35
HINDPETRO 329.00 332.00 323.40 325.75
TATACHEM 165.00 167.30 162.40 163.05
LT 1037.50 1040.00 1021.00 1026.20
ZEETELE 154.45 155.85 149.30 151.30
ICICIBANK 400.00 403.00 394.10 396.50
GRASIM 1136.00 1149.90 1134.20 1134.85
ICICIBANK 400.00 403.00 394.10 396.50
DRREDDY 678.00 685.00 670.55 680.90
GAIL 220.50 221.40 215.00 215.70
CIPLA 281.00 281.90 276.60 279.85
TATAPOWER 374.90 374.90 358.00 360.10
HEROHONDA 555.00 559.90 546.25 550.10
HCLTECH 367.00 367.00 341.55 343.50
NATIONALUM 150.50 150.95 146.50 147.00
IPCL 165.50 167.50 162.65 163.15
HINDALC0 1218.90 1222.70 1200.25 1208.05
REL 502.45 503.00 482.00 488.35
COLGATE 213.95 216.00 209.00 210.50
MTNL 118.90 118.90 116.50 117.00
TATATEA 547.90 549.85 530.15 533.40
SUNPHARMA 507.00 511.00 501.00 509.85
HDFCBANK 554.80 554.80 535.00 536.80
GLAXO 744.00 749.80 721.35 727.60
ABB 1289.00 1300.00 1273.10 1282.75
VSNL 210.60 211.00 205.40 206.90
Last Update : 17 May, 2005, 16:04PM

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Indices stage a strong rebound