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Indices resist weakness in World Markets

Rex Mathew*
10 March 2005


Market remained lackluster today with intra-day swings. Indices managed to close in positive territory after a late rally. In fact, India is the only market in the entire Asian region to close in the green today. Sensex closed at 6907, up 15 points and the Nifty at 2167, gain of 6 points. The Nifty futures discount to the spot index remains nearly unchanged at 10 points.

Yesterday, US markets lost ground on profit booking. The Dow and S&P 500 lost a per cent each on worries over inflation, while NASDAQ lost 12 points. Crude ended lower on profit booking by hedge funds and speculators. Most Indian ADR's ended week except for Dr. Reddy's and MTNL. While Infosys and Satyam lost more than 2 per cent each, ICICI Bank, Wipro, HDFC Bank and Tata Motors all lost more than a percent each.

Commerce ministry indicated that merchandise exports from the country for fiscal 2005 should touch $75 billion. This is creditable considering the weakness of the US dollar and would beat the targeted export growth rate of around 16 per cent for the year. The imports for the year are expected to be around $100 billion on higher crude prices.

Rahul Bajaj indicated the possibility of an early settlement to the ownership issues in the group. According to him, sugar major Bajaj Hindustan and unlisted Bajaj Consumercare would go to Shishir Bajaj while the other companies will stay within the parent group. He also announced Bajaj Auto's intention to pick up a 20 per cent stake in Maharashtra Scooters. The stock of Maharashtra Scooters shot up 20 per cent in morning trades. Bajaj Auto expects to sell around 1.8-million vehicles in the current year.

HSBC, one of the world's largest banking groups, announced fresh investment of $150 million in its Indian operations. The retail arm of HSBC India has been aggressive in housing and consumer loans and this move would make matters tough for the smaller Indian banks. HSBC also announced that it intends to remain only as a financial investor in UTI Bank. UTI Bank stock hit a new 52-week high on this announcement as well as its proposed GDR issue.

Private sector HDFC Bank saw a huge block deal worth over Rs700 crore — close to 4 per cent of the bank's equity — in morning trades. HDFC is picking up an equity stake in commodity exchange MCX. HDFC Bank has been on an upswing for the last one week on sustained interest from foreign investors. The stock of HDFC Bank closed marginally in the red while HDFC managed a positive closing.

Super heavy weights ONGC and Reliance supported the indices throughout the day. Both companies will benefit from rising oil prices, ONGC from better realizations and Reliance from better refinery margins. ONGC gained more than 2 per cent and Reliance more than a per cent. State Bank joined the rally in afternoon trades with gains of more than 2 per cent.

The Delhi High Court asked Reliance Infocomm to pay MTNL Rs125 in the international call re-routing case. This payment is over and above the penalty imposed on Reliance Infocomm by telecom tribunal TDSAT earlier. Stock of MTNL gained more than 3 per cent in morning trades.

Tech pack Infosys, TCS, Satyam and Wipro closed weaker. Steel stocks Tata Steel and SAIL ended flat as did auto major Tata Motors.

Mid-cap action
Mid-caps bounced back after yesterday's correction with the CNX Mid-cap index gaining more than once per cent.

Cigarette manufacturer Godfrey Philips was locked in the upper 20 per cent circuit. VST Industries, the Hyderabad-based cigarette manufacturer, also gained close to 7 per cent.

Tata group companies Titan Industries and Trent Ltd were major gainers today. Trent shot up by more than 16 per cent while Titan gained close to 8 per cent. Both stocks have received good buying support from overseas investors as they offer excellent bets in the retail space. There is talk of Trent going for a rights issue in the near future. Pantaloon, the largest organised retail player, also made smart gains.

Indian Hotels, another Tata group company operating the Taj chain of hotels, rallied on good investor interest. The occupancy rates are on an upswing and the company has announced an aggressive foray into the budget hotels space under the indiOne brand. The stock is at an 8-year high after going through rough days during the tourism slump post September 11.

Public sector telecom manufacturer ITI gained more than 10 per cent for the second day running on increased volumes. The company was in deep financial problems and government had decided to pump in funds to revive the company. With its new focus on broadband internet equipment, a segment growing rapidly, market expects the company to post a turnaround.

TASC Pharma and Glenmark Laboratories have decided to merge in the ratio 1.8:1. Glenmark Laboratories is an unlisted company of the Glenmark group and should not be confused with Glenmark Pharmaceuticals. TASC Pharma gained more than 3 per cent to a new lifetime high before closing marginally in the green.

Nicholas Piramal gained more than 5 per cent on its plans to raise funds for expansion through issue of FCCB's. Nicholas Piramal has been focusing on contract research and contract manufacturing of drugs and has tie-ups with global pharma majors.

Construction companies Gammon India and Hindustan Construction continued their rally. Gammon India has gained over 15 per cent over the last 3 trading sessions. The rally in construction stocks is on strong additions to their order book. Investors would do well to remember that it will take time for the orders to flow into financials of the companies and they may be exposed to inflationary risks till execution.

Srei Infrastructure Finance board approved a GDR issue of up to $50 million. The stock has seen considerable interest from major overseas investors in the recent past.

UB group stocks resumed their up move with McDowell, United Breweries and UB Holdings all gaining ground. McDowell shot up by 10 per cent and was locked in the upper circuit.

There was all round weakness across Asian markets today. Most of these markets have been relative out-performers when compared to the Indian market over the last 2 months or so. Japanese index NIKKEI broke its week long rally and Hong Kong continued the weak trend of yesterday. European markets have also opened weak in morning trades.

The market breadth turned positive as the mid-caps made a turn around. The upturn in afternoon trades may help the market to send this article to a friendopen firm tomorrow. Close above 6900 for the Sensex is positive but intra-day volatility can be expected as indices try to reach previous highs.

*Disclaimer: The author doesn't have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis/report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices

National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
6907.65 +14.83
NIFTY 2167.40 +6.60
Last Update : 10 March, 2005, 16:15 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
STATE BANK OF INDIA 722.10 744.85 715.00 742.00
HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CO 800.00 824.00 797.00 820.00
ONG CORP LTD 915.00 939.95 904.50 929.00
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP. LTD. 339.00 340.50 335.00 339.30
I T C LTD 1,372.00 1,390.00 1,361.05 1,384.00
RELIANCE* 587.00 597.20 582.00 592.25
ICICI BANK L 391.50 394.00 385.00 393.00
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 755.00 767.50 747.00 756.00
BHEL 825.00 837.90 825.00 834.00
MARUTI UDYOG 459.00 464.90 457.00 461.20
BAJAJ AUTO 1,096.00 1,111.00 1,082.55 1,100.00
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 370.00 371.20 365.10 368.20
TATA POWER 395.00 397.40 391.00 396.00
HEROHONDA M 551.00 558.00 548.10 554.65
CIPLA LTD. 290.00 294.75 283.40 283.40
WIPRO LTD. 711.00 711.00 700.00 703.00
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 1,094.00 1,097.00 1,078.00 1,080.05
BHARTI TELE 228.00 229.10 222.30 227.45
HDFC BANK LT 615.00 629.95 612.05 612.10
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,211.00 2,245.00 2,200.00 2,230.00
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 441.10 445.40 438.60 441.00
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,381.00 1,409.90 1,370.00 1,377.65
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 1,099.70 1,103.80 1,084.35 1,090.00
ZEE TELEF LT 141.90 143.90 140.55 141.00
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 433.00 433.00 426.50 431.15
HINDALCO IN 1,460.00 1,460.00 1,425.25 1,432.00
RELIANCE ENR* 571.50 586.90 571.50 579.50
TATA MOTORS 469.00 472.20 465.00 467.90
HLL 142.70
Satyam Computer Services 414.00
Last Update : 10 March, 2005, 16:05PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
SBIN 719.90 744.00 715.85 741.40
RELIANCE 588.00 597.00 584.50 594.40
ONGC 914.00 940.00 903.50 932.85
SATYAMCOMP 415.00 417.00 409.25 415.90
INFOSYSTCH 2250.00 2250.00 2195.00 2232.00
TISCO 432.00 432.55 426.45 431.35
PNB 488.80 494.50 475.10 493.70
TATAMOTORS 488.00 488.00 465.20 468.15
MARUTI 460.00 465.20 457.15 461.75
SAIL 64.65 64.80 64.05 64.40
BHARTI 230.20 230.20 222.65 222.75
MTNL 137.50 141.95 137.50 141.35
CIPLA 300.00 300.00 284.50 284.50
ORIENTBANK 359.00 368.35 356.35 367.40
ITC 1365.00 1390.50 1365.00 1380.75
GAIL 245.50 249.20 242.05 249.05
TCS 1410.00 1410.00 1390.25 1398.00
HDFC 800.00 823.00 795.05 821.50
HINDPETRO 335.00 341.00 334.60 339.85
M&M 540.00 542.00 528.30 534.60
RANBAXY 1091.00 1097.50 1077.15 1082.80
ACC 367.80 371.30 365.20 369.55
ICICIBANK 390.10 393.50 383.40 392.65
WIPRO 715.00 715.00 699.00 704.35
IPCL 184.00 185.40 181.70 182.80
HINDLEVER 144.15 146.10 142.20 144.10
BPCL 402.00 406.90 401.10 402.65
GRASIM 1370.00 1404.00 1362.05 1396.00
HCLTECH 358.00 364.40 351.10 363.90
TATATEA 542.10 552.90 541.25 542.20
GUJAMBCEM 444.00 445.85 439.05 441.00
BHEL 826.20 836.90 826.20 833.40
DRREDDY 751.50 767.00 747.50 759.10
LT 1100.00 1104.00 1085.00 1093.00
HDFCBANK 620.15 628.60 615.00 615.00
TATAPOWER 394.00 398.70 391.00 395.40
BAJAJAUTO 1081.25 1109.95 1071.20 1100.55
HINDALC0 1431.00 1448.00 1431.00 1435.25
NATIONALUM 184.00 188.40 184.00 185.10
HEROHONDA 554.00 558.40 548.10 556.90
ZEETELE 142.50 143.80 140.50 141.40
SCI 166.40 167.85 164.95 165.90
SUNPHARMA 493.50 494.00 480.00 485.30
GLAXO 753.95 769.00 747.00 765.00
REL 582.00 586.10 575.25 580.75
TATACHEM 157.60 158.70 157.00 157.85
DABUR 123.00 140.00 116.50 119.50
VSNL 217.25 221.50 217.25 221.25
ABB 1271.00 1277.65 1241.00 1249.00
COLGATE 185.50 185.50 182.15 184.00
Last Update : 10 March, 2005, 16:00PM

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Indices resist weakness in World Markets