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Markets weak as commodity stocks decline

Rex Mathew*
2 June 2005


Markets were disheartened today by more dilly dallying on the part of the government and political manoeuvring by the Left parties on the fuel price hike and disinvestment. After opening marginally firm, front line stocks set on a path of steady decline for the rest of the day.

A sharp increase in crude prices yesterday weighed in on most oil stocks as they continue to lose more money in the absence of a price revision. Metal stocks continued to remain weak today as well.

Some of the FMCG stocks like HLL and ITC and auto stocks which had posted excellent gains in the past few days lost ground on profit booking, adding to the overall weakness. To make matters worse, IT stocks also were subdued.

Sensex closed at 6656, down 74 points and the Nifty at 2065, down 23 points. Nifty June futures discount to the spot widened to 28 points from yesterday's 24 points.

Among Nifty stocks, L&T, Colgate and Tata Tea were the major percentage gainers while Hindalco, Ranbaxy and TCS were the major losers.

Yesterday, US markets brushed aside soaring crude prices and managed to close with good gains. Though the manufacturing output data was weaker than expected, traders were encouraged by lower inflation outlook. Lower inflation would mean return of the ever persistent hope for lower interest rate hikes by the US Fed. NASDAQ gained close to a per cent. The gains on the Dow were marginally lower.

Crude futures for July delivery shot up over 4 per cent yesterday and closed in on the $55-mark. The surge was caused by relatively insignificant news of a rupture in a Texas refinery pipeline. Traders are awaiting weekly US inventory figures today. Oil stocks made smart gains on the surge in crude prices.

Indian ADR's generally had a good day yesterday. IT stocks witnessed a mixed trend with Satyam and Wipro closing with gains while Infosys lost ground. Tata Motors were the star performer with gains of over 5 per cent followed by ICICI Bank at close to 2 per cent. MTNL, VSNL, HDFC Bank and Dr. Reddy's all closed with gains.

The oil price hike was once again postponed as intense political lobbying continues. It was widely reported that a price hike will be announced today following the meeting of Left parties with the prime minister. Today, yet another series of meetings were announced as the government tries to lower the political costs of the fuel price hike.

After giving some indication that they may allow the government to go ahead with the BHEL disinvestment plan, the left parties turned around again today and asked the government to reconsider the decision.

Ranbaxy denied reports that the company has reached a settlement with multinational pharma company Pfizer on a patent dispute. There were market rumours about a settlement under which Ranbaxy would withdraw its patent challenge in return for a payment of $90 million. The stock closed nearly 3 per cent lower.

Cement companies continue to report excellent shipment volumes month after month. Ultratech, formerly L&T cement, reported a 15 per cent jump in May shipments to over 1.25 million tonnes. Grasim and ACC also reported around 10 per cent growth in May shipments. Gujarat Ambuja reported a growth of close to 5 per cent. However, most cement stocks closed in the negative.

Metal stocks continued their decline after yesterday's price cuts in steel and aluminium prices. Analysts expect prices to come down further in the short term as global inventories have risen. Tata Steel and SAIL both lost over 2 per cent each. Hindalco lost over 3 per cent. The BSE metal index lost over 2 per cent.

Maruti continued to decline after reporting disappointing sales volumes for the month of May. Yesterday, the company had reported a 4 per cent decline in May sales volumes. Its main competitor Hyundai India announced today that it will launch a new version of its premium hatchback model Getz to take on Maruti's new model Swift. The stock closed 2 per cent lower.

Jet Airways received permission to launch 4 additional flights per week to US via Belgium. This will help the airline to offer daily services to Newark in the US via Brussels. There are reports that the airline is discontinuing its services to Kathmandu. The stock closed over a per cent lower.

Sterlite Industries, the copper manufacturer controlled by Vedanta group, reported a loss for the fourth quarter ended March 2005 even as revenues increased by over 30 per cent. Full year profits almost halved even as total income increased by over 30 per cent. The stock lost over 5 per cent after the results were announced.

Hindustan Zinc, another Vedanta group company, reported a 60 per cent growth in full year profits on a revenue growth of 20 per cent. Fourth quarter profits more than doubled on a revenue growth of over 35 per cent. The stock gained over 3 per cent after the announcement. The company has recently completed an expansion programme which has increased its zinc capacity to 400,000 tonnes per annum.

Mid-Cap Action

Mid-cap stocks also declined, though the correction was lower than that for frontline stocks. CNX Mid-Cap 200 index closed at 2990, down 20 points.

IDBI continued its northward journey on expectations of a settlement to the Dabhol power project. IDBI has a large exposure to the project which has been classified as NPA in its books. The stock has gained over 20 per cent in the last few sessions.

Panacea Biotech, manufacturers of vaccines and drug formulations, announced excellent results for the quarter and year ended March 2005. Full year profits jumped over 80 per cent on a revenue growth of close to 25 per cent. Profits for the fourth quarter increased more than 7 fold even though revenues declined by over 10 per cent. The stock gained over 2 per cent in early trades.

There are reports that Sesa Goa has won an exploration contract for iron ore in the state of Jharkhand. Under the contract, the company would prospect for iron ore deposits. It is not yet clear if the company can export any ore it may find, as no mining lease has been signed. The company has benefited from its ore exports to China from its mines on the western coastline. The stock closed with losses.

send this article to a friendBirla Ericsson, Godavari Fertilisers and Gujarat Ambuja Exports were among the best performing stocks among mid-caps.

Mukand, Hi-Tech Gear and Bhushan Steel were among the significant mid-cap losers.

*Disclaimer: The author does not have any position in the stocks specifically mentioned above at the time of writing this article. This analysis / report is only for the purpose of information and is not an investment advice. Readers are advised to consult a certified financial advisor before taking any investment decisions. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in the content the author or publisher shall not be held responsible for any loss caused to any person whatsoever.

Other articles by Rex Mathew

List of general reports on markets

List of general reports on finance

Market: Indices

National Markets
Gain (+) / Loss (-)

SENSEX
6,655.56 -74.34
NIFTY 2,064.65 -22.90
Last Update : 2 June, 2005, 16:15 PM

Market Counters
Figures in Rupees

BSE 30
Scrip Name Open High Low Last Price
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD. 1,059.90 1,094.00 1,055.00 1,084.50
ZEE TELEF LT 139.55 142.25 139.00 140.95
HDFC BANK LT 537.10 544.95 535.30 539.20
DR.REDDY'S LABORATORIES LTD. 731.45 743.80 728.60 735.85
HINDALCO IN 1,114.90 1,120.45 1,066.00 1,079.05
RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD. 1,128.00 1,133.00 1,075.05 1,084.20
RELIANCE ENR* 527.00 533.00 512.10 513.30
TATA IRON AND STEEL CO. LTD. 355.00 357.30 347.00 348.60
MARUTI UDYOG 460.00 462.50 449.50 450.85
RELIANCE* 541.05 543.00 528.65 529.70
I T C LTD 1,592.05 1,607.00 1,555.85 1,560.25
ASSOCIATED CEMENT COMPANIES LT 380.00 380.80 371.00 371.80
BHEL 887.80 887.80 855.00 866.60
ICICI BANK L 400.00 404.00 391.00 392.25
HINDUSTAN LEVER LTD. 150.00 150.00 146.10 147.15
WIPRO LTD. 715.00 718.00 700.00 700.75
BHARTI TELE 224.50 224.50 218.00 219.85
TATA POWER 381.50 381.50 371.05 372.50
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 1,100.00 1,126.00 1,100.00 1,111.50
CIPLA LTD. 293.95 294.50 288.00 289.55
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.-ORDI 2,217.50 2,230.00 2,195.00 2,201.25
HINDUSTAN PETROLEUM CORP. LTD. 341.00 344.00 332.15 333.30
SATYAM COMP 457.00 459.00 440.05 451.40
GUJARAT AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD. 454.00 454.00 446.60 448.00
BAJAJ AUTO 1,256.05 1,274.90 1,256.05 1,263.80
Last Update : 2 June, 2005, 16:05PM

S&P CNX Nifty
Symbol Open High Low Last Price
RELIANCE 544.00 545.30 528.55 529.50
TCS 1308.00 1309.00 1265.10 1266.30
ONGC 927.00 929.70 918.15 925.00
SBIN 664.90 670.00 654.50 655.25
TISCO 356.05 356.05 348.00 349.10
INFOSYSTCH 2225.00 2232.00 2195.80 2201.95
SATYAMCOMP 456.25 458.00 450.30 452.80
SAIL 52.30 52.30 50.80 51.25
GLAXO 770.00 801.00 770.00 781.50
ITC 1591.55 1606.90 1558.20 1559.10
MARUTI 459.00 462.00 450.00 451.50
TATAMOTORS 443.70 443.70 434.50 436.50
HINDLEVER 149.45 149.90 146.15 147.40
TATACHEM 182.50 184.90 178.45 181.75
RANBAXY 1123.00 1135.00 1082.05 1083.30
LT 1059.40 1094.50 1055.00 1084.90
HINDPETRO 340.00 344.00 332.50 333.25
M&M 518.00 521.25 503.80 509.10
BAJAJAUTO 1260.00 1268.00 1256.00 1261.00
WIPRO 715.00 718.80 700.00 701.50
DRREDDY 729.90 743.00 727.60 733.25
TATATEA 571.25 595.00 571.25 592.00
COLGATE 0 228.00 233.40 227.50 231.4
HDFC 769.90 775.00 755.00 763.05
ACC 380.00 380.90 371.25 371.65
GRASIM 1124.80 1125.00 1107.55 1115.50
TATAPOWER 379.00 381.35 370.60 373.15
ORIENTBANK 260.20 263.50 260.00 261.40
IPCL 165.50 167.95 164.10 164.75
REL 527.50 531.45 512.00 513.50
HINDALC0 1119.00 1144.00 1073.10 1073.10
HEROHONDA 563.00 563.00 553.25 557.05
BPCL 394.90 400.00 391.45 392.05
BHEL 885.00 889.00 863.00 870.50
GAIL 216.00 218.00 213.25 213.25
ZEETELE 140.55 141.90 138.80 140.80
BHARTI 223.00 224.70 219.35 219.40
PNB 380.20 382.90 374.00 374.65
GUJAMBCEM 453.40 453.40 446.60 448.20
HCLTECH 365.00 368.75 360.05 363.55
HDFCBANK 542.00 543.15 536.25 539.25
ICICIBANK 402.00 403.00 392.00 392.00
SUNPHARMA 532.00 539.95 530.10 537.55
MTNL 122.80 122.80 119.85 121.15
CIPLA 292.20 294.20 288.30 289.15
NATIONALUM 144.00 144.00 140.75 141.00
VSNL 207.50 213.00 207.50 207.65
SCI 151.50 151.50 147.85 148.45
ABB 1303.00 1309.25 1281.25 1286.00
DABUR 129.10 133.00 128.50 129.75
Last Update : 2 June, 2005, 16:04PM

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Markets weak as commodity stocks decline